Week 7 Locks

When we began documenting these locks, it was Week 4 of the season. Prior to that, Anonymous Aggie and I (Zac) were doing our “locks of the week” behind the scenes. Call us full of it all you want, but both of us were undefeated before we started making these public. Since then? I am 0-2-1, with the push coming week 5 when the Liberty vs Appalachian State game that I predicted was canceled.  

That has to be real promising for someone to read, but I can assure you the ship is back on track and we are coming at you with a stellar weekend of bets. Get ready to nuke this Saturday because the profits are coming. As always, odds brought to you courtesy of Fliff, not affiliated.

Zac - Kyren Lacy ATD -105 odds

Think back to this game a year ago: neither defense could stop the other team to save their life. Do I expect this game to be lower scoring? Absolutely, tensions will be high between these teams looking to make a statement. That said, Garrett Nussmeier will be ready to sling it and I am counting on the Tigers best receiver to find the pylons. With 5 touchdown receptions in the first 3 weeks, he has failed to get in for six over the last 2 contests, so he is due to make some noise. Don’t forget LSU’s lone loss is a non-conference game so they are squarely in the SEC mix + they hold one of the nation's longest home winning streaks. Trust the kid out of Thibodaux, LA, and ride with me here.

Anonymous Aggie - Ohio State ML -170 odds at Oregon

All eyes will be on the game of the week and the winner of this game will nearly be a shoe-in to make the College Football Playoff. Ohio State heads out west looking to redeem themselves from the disappointing loss to the Ducks in 2021 and have the depth to do it. Massive questions loom in the trenches about matchups on both sides of the ball to be answered but I like the Buckeyes as the overall better team. Oregon has a top 10 defense up to this point in the season but my question is this: Ashton Jeanty had 200 yards of offense and 3 touchdowns against the Ducks earlier this year. Can they limit Quinshon Judkins and TreVeyon Henderson? If not, there will be too much firepower from the Buckeyes for them to hang. It pains me to say this, but take Ryan Day.

Peyton - Kansas State at Colorado OVER 56 -105 odds

A wise man once told me “man in the suit, man in the suit, man in the suit” and I have confidence in him. Two teams scoring north of 30 points per game this season match up in a late night showdown, and if there’s anything we can learn from Colorado’s night cap against Baylor a few weeks ago, get ready for some craziness. Coach Prime has the opportunity to put himself in the driver’s seat of the Big 12 and it would be quite the story if CU is 5-1 in year 2 under him. I don’t see Kansas State struggling to score and this game has the makings of being a shootout if Shadeur can get some (perfect) timing in the pocket. Lord help the media if Colorado wins this outright, they won’t have the time to write about anything else until the 2025 season.

Guest Picker: Zach Adams - Georgia Tech ML -210 odds at North Carolina AND Washington ML +120 odds at Iowa AND Vanderbilt (+13.5) -115 odds at Kentucky

The pride of LSU, outside of Peyton, gets the nod as our weekly guest picker coming at you with a trio of bets, all on the road team. North Carolina has been a mess, dropping their last 3 contests, and Mr. Adams sees this trend continuing. Georgia Tech has a handful of challenging games down the stretch, so games like tomorrow are a must-win with a future full of uncertainty. Look for Haynes King to lead the charge with an overwhelming run game. 

Washington looks to build off their victory over Michigan a week ago against an Iowa team that is very similar in blueprint to the Wolverines. Will Rogers has helped keep Washington afloat in a year that saw a ton of movement to the roster and staff of the Huskies. The only concern I have about this one is that Big 10 teams traveling multiple time zones so far this season are 1-7. The good news for Washington? You don’t have to put up an abundance of points against Iowa. Maybe Grady Gross can actually send a couple through the uprights this week.

Vanderbilt continues to cover big spreads, and have even emerged as the outright winner in two of those contests. Who is Kentucky? Will they be the team that gave Ole Miss and Georgia everything they can handle or will they be the team that got swamped by South Carolina? Our guest picker likes the more consistent team in Vandy to cover the spread, and the rest of us agree. Look for Diego Pavia to continue his magical season. You can parlay these 3 picks together for some juicy +507 odds.